Austin gains home sales momentum while national sales decline

Austin is bucking the national trends again as March 2009 official numbers come in. Nationally, 4,570,000 homes were sold in March, down from 4,940,000 home sold in March of 2008 and down from February 2009′s 4,720,000 homes sold in the US. Austin saw 1,511 homes sold in March of this year, down from last March’s 2,049, but gaining momentum from February 2009′s 1,174 homes sold. In short, while US numbers continue to decline, Austin’s numbers are gaining as our strong job and growth rate help to keep our local market stable. Watch for a post coming later this week on the stability of Austin’s market.

National Figures:
March 2008 – 4,940,000
February 2009 – 4,720,000
March 2009 – 4,570,000

Local Figures:
March 2008 – 2,049
February 2009 – 1,174
March 2009 – 1,511

National vs Austin Home Sales Volume

As always, Austin Real Estate Housing Statistics and Data are permanently available at Austin Home Pro as well on the Statistics page as well as our new data site.

Bigger IS Better: Why Texas Bucks National Economic Trends

1122816-travel_picture-texasIf you visit this site regularly, then you’ve already heard me preach that the economy in Texas (and in its largest 4 cities) continues to buck national trends.  I have so many frazzled buyers asking me “Why are all the crazy sellers in Austin trying to sell their home without slashing the price in half?”  My answer often falls on deaf ears… Because unlike the hard-hit areas like Florida and Nevada, Texas has always had steady growth and appreciation, never doubling or trippling overnight.  We have no out of control boom to recover from, there is no crash because our economy is healthier than other states’ and even the nation.

Bigger is Better
We buck the national trends because we are self-sufficient.  Here in Texas, we have more resources, natural and economic, than most countries!  This is why our real estate market, like other markets, is holding strong despite the national recession and the crumbling prices the news shoves into our heads each day.

  • If Texas was a country, it would be the 10th largest country in the world
  • If Texas was a country, it would have the 12th strongest economy based on GDP
  • If Texas was a country, it would be the 5th largest oil & gas producer
  • 82.5% of the Texas population is in Metros… DFW, Houston, San Antonio, & Austin
  • Texas has more Fortune 500 companies than any other state
  • Austin was #1, San Antonio was #2, in Forbe’s recent national “Best Bank for Your Buck Cities” report while Houston made #4 and Dallas made #7!
  • Builder Online Ranked Houston #1, Austin #2, Fort Worth #3, San Antonio #4, and Dallas #5 for “Healthiest Housing Markets in the Nation”!
  • Many of the best universities in the nation are right here in Texas


I highly recommend watching this video, supported by many including Governor Rick Perry, to help demonstrate why Texas is so strong:



Latest Statistics (hover for detailed figures)


In the News: Central Texas Econmy In Perspective

Austin Ranks #2!

Central Texas Economy In Perspective

by Beverly Kerr, Chamber Vice President of Research

Our monthly Economic Indicators report usually presents a ranking of the top 50 metros by rate of total nonfarm job growth over the preceding 12 months. The ranking in the table below varies from that by focusing on the private sector portion of job growth and expands the ranking to the 100 largest metros (inspired by a ranking presented in the Austin Business Journal last week).

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The 15 metros above represent the fastest growing areas of the country (among the top 100 metros) for the 5 years ending November 2008 (the latest available month). We thought it would be interesting to contrast this period of performance with the preceding 5 years (1998-2003), as well as with the most recent 12-month period.

Austin’s 20.0% growth over the last 5 years puts it in second place among the nation’s large metros. In this period, all but 13 of the top 100 metros saw positive growth in private sector jobs. New Orleans and Detroit suffered the largest losses in the period (-12.4% and -11.1% respectively).

In the preceding 5 year period, Austin saw substantially less job growth, 6%, and ranked only 27th (this was a period when Austin’s population grew by nearly 20%). Of the 100 largest metros, 37 saw negative private sector job growth during this period. The greatest losers in this period were San Jose (-12.6) and San Francisco (-10.2%), two other areas where the tech bust hit hard. Other tech centers present a mix of positive (Raleigh) and negative (Seattle, Boston) growth. The fastest growing metros over 1998-2003 were Riverside (24.3%) and Las Vegas (21.5%).

The most robustly growing metros of the 2003-2008 period are seeing strikingly variable performance for the 12 months ending November 2008. Raleigh and Austin, nos. 1 and 2 of the 2003-2008 period show at 9th and 10th for the Nov 07-Nov. 08 period, but are among only 22 large metros with positive private sector job growth. Evidencing the comparative good condition of Texas in the current recession, Houston, Dallas, Ft. Worth, and San Antonio are also in the top 10.

For the 12 months ending in November, 39 states lost a combined total of 1,398,500 private sector jobs and 12 states and the District of Columbia added 247,500 jobs, 187,000 of those in Texas

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Are Austin Home Prices on the Rise?

Austin’s real estate market can be a confusing place right now. On one hand the media is keeping your attention with stories of gloom and doom while many of us here in the local market here in Austin keep telling you that 2008 is one of the best times to buy since 1973.

Here is an interesting bit of information that was just passed along to me. Austin’s home values are still increasing. Austin prices have held up strong over both the past 3 months and 12 months and is currently ranked 3rd in the nation based on Loan Performance Home Price Index that covers median home prices in 7,508 zip codes around the country

3-Month and 12-Month Change by Top CBSAs

(Core Based Statistical Areas) as of February 2008

3- Month

12- Month

Change

Change

San Antonio TX

0.35%

5.58%

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown TX

0.27%

3.03%

Austin-Round Rock TX

0.10%

6.22%

Dallas-Plano-Irving TX

-0.06%

3.71%

Salt Lake City UT

-0.47%

6.63%

New York-White Plains-Wayne NY-NJ

-0.80%

-3.34%

Edison NJ

-1.36%

-4.67%

Philadelphia PA

-1.47%

-1.14%

Raleigh-Cary NC

-2.25%

1.16%

Seattle-Bellevue-Everett WA

-2.59%

-3.18%

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV

-3.18%

-10.80%

Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord NC-SC

-3.23%

1.09%

Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton OR-WA-

-3.23%

-2.84%

Honolulu HI

-3.97%

10.68%

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta GA

-4.34%

-6.62%

St. Louis MO-IL

-4.43%

-3.05%

Chicago-Naperville-Joliet IL

-4.52%

-6.60%

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington MN-WI

-4.62%

-8.98%

Boston-Quincy MA

-5.02%

-9.32%

Las Vegas-Paradise NV

-5.04%

-16.69%

Denver-Aurora CO

-5.52%

-7.31%

Orlando-Kissimmee FL

-5.54%

-15.38%

Cape Coral-Fort Myers FL

-5.68%

-18.08%

Miami-Miami Beach-Kendall FL

-5.92%

-14.06%

San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City CA

-6.25%

-11.12%

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ

-6.36%

-16.42%

Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Deerfield Beach FL

-6.40%

-17.03%

Detroit-Livonia-Dearborn MI

-6.46%

-5.08%

San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos CA

-6.61%

-17.38%

Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL

-6.69%

-15.33%

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario CA

-6.74%

-21.28%

Oakland-Fremont-Hayward CA

-7.11%

-17.94%

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale CA

-7.20%

-18.67%

Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor OH

-7.28%

-9.61%

Source: First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance HPI, Single Family Detached Series as of February 2008