When the market gets to you…

picture-10It happens to the best of us, we all get bummed out from time to time.  I literally grew up in this business.  I spent my first 7 years in the first Corias home ever built, my family survived the 80s and the tech bust and everything inbetween.  And we’re set up to survive this time around as well.

But to be honest, this week, it has all really gotten to me.  I’m just in a funk over both the attitudes toward our current times as well as the ripples we are feeling here in Austin.  I was thinking about how now is different from the good ole’ days of the middle of this decade and other strong markets.  What’s different?  I noticed how every time I found a home for someone, I could give them 10 reasons why it would be hard to resell.  And I mean every time.  It got me thinking, all of these homes would sell in under 100 days a few years ago, even the one with no back yard, even the one with 5 bedrooms and only 2 bathrooms.  In up markets, pretty much everything sells.  Now we are watching buyers as they sit and age on the fence.  In the meantime, the homes are aging, rates are going up, and opportunities are being passed by.

I don’t think that an aged buyer is the best buyer.  I don’t mean how old you are, I mean how old your search for your next home is.  Waiting and waiting serves no one, yet there are justifications for being cautious.  Will that home resell?  My new answer is yes!  Maybe not quickly in the current climate, but in a strong market, anything is possible.  Someone will love the same things about that home that you love.  Maybe you will sell in another slow market and it may take 6-9 months to sell your home instead of 60-90 days.  But it will sell.  And would you be this picky in an up market?  Of course not.  If you wait months to put in an offer in a sellers market in Austin, you’re very likely out of luck.

But buyers are faced with troubles as well, not just sellers.  Sure, the amazingly low interest rates mean a great deal and quite possibly more house and there are still plenty of loans out there.  Those with troubled credit can even find seller-financing.  But buyers often also have to make a great deal of decisions.  “Do we sell our house first?  Should we refinance instead?  Should we remodel?”  These are all legitimate questions.  And the answers may be easier than you think.

Don’t torture yourself! These decisions are emotional ones.  When I have an emotional decision, I like to bring in a third, non-emotional party who can objectively explain facts and information to me.  This is my job in these times.  Not to be bummed out, not to cry over slow sales, not to cry over the state of the economy… to use my knowledge and experience in this industry to help you decide if it is the right time for you to move, refinance, or remodel.

You may think I just want your listing or you as a buyer client.  But there are other ways I get paid, and if you need help with any of these questions over refinancing, remodeling, etc., ask me!  I’d be more than happy to help you with your decisions, weiging options, and letting you just generally pick my brain so you can benefit from the knowledge and experience I have gained from nearly 3 decades in construction, remodeling, sales, and financing it all.

I’m still allowed to get bummed out from time to time, but when we do, remember there is always someone out there with an objective view that can help.

Not your average realtor

Aria isn’t your average agent because Aria is Austin’s un-Realtor!

Aria Kilpatrick

Tired of the same old used-house salesman?

Need a Realtor® that is a Real Estate Consultant?

Aria is different because as a native Austinite, she not only grew up with Austin in Austin, but also in Austin’s real estate industry.  From humble roots in the very first home by Corias Homes in the outskirts of what was then a small city, Aria’s experience grew with the family business and the best city on earth to become a true expert dedicated to quality over quantity, building lifetime relationships, continuing education, sustainable housing, and taking the fear out of real estate.

Does your Realtor® have…

  • the unique perspective of growing up with Austin?
  • an attention to detail that only growing up on custom home construction sites can provide?
  • an understanding of the complex aspects of lot and site selection that only closely assisting a Civil Engineer parent can provide?
  • first-hand experience building and remodeling homes?
  • knowledge, experience, and contacts with The City’s red-tape departments?
  • an in-depth understanding of Austin’s cycles and growth patterns?
  • a degree from The University of Texas and a commitment to continuing education beyond basic requirements?
  • a full range of experience and education in Green Building, Sustainable Housing, Sustainable Products, and Responsible Development?

Unique, Hard-Working Experience & Recognition Aria has worked as a Realtor®, investor, builder, flipper, remodeler, and developer in addition to typical homeownership and the experience gained as a 2nd generation Austinite, Texan, and Real Estate Consultant.  She proudly has been awarded a Bachelors degree from the University of Texas at Austin, the Graduate Realtor®s Institute professional designation, E-Pro designation, and is currently seeking the Eco-Broker designation.

Giving Back In 2006, Aria was awarded The Presidential Service Award for dedicating over 4000 hours of her life to community service.  Aria was also honored to be awarded the titles of Miss Texas American Coed 2003 and Mrs. Volunteer America 2006.  Her favorite charities are The Lance Armstrong Foundation, The American Heart Association, The ASPCA, and the MDA.

Work Hard, Play Hard Living life to its fullest during both her career and personal time is a priority to Aria.  Since age 7, she has spent countless weekends on the soccer field and continues to play in Austin’s coed & women’s soccer leagues.  Beginning with piano at age 3, music has always been a very important part of Aria’s life.  She is also experienced in singing, guitar, violin, keyboards, drums, and saxaphone, but her guitar and her voice are by far her favorite instruments.  Aria also enjoys cycling with her mother both on her road bike and mountain bike, and loves to participate in events like the Ride for the Roses.  Animals are a weakness for Aria and she and her husband enjoy sharing life with 4 dogs and 3 cats.

Get in Touch Whether or not you are currently in the market for a new home contact Aria for all of the information you need including any questions you may have. aria@kilpatrick.org 512.771.1776 [contact-form 1 "Contact form 1"]

In the News: Mercedes Homes files Chapter 11

And they’re not the first. Mercedes Homes is the newest member of the Bankrupt Builder Club.  The Austin Buisiness Journal broke the news Monday, but what does this mean to those in a Mercedes home?  Well, Meredes is not going away, they are (for now) reorganizing. Mercedes Homes is continuing to operate!

We hear “historically low rates”, “finance now”, “now is the time to buy”, “if you have good credit, you can still get a mortgage”, but the builders are not being treated nearly as kindly as their customers.  Although now, as long as you are ‘financially responsible’, you CAN get financing at a great rate, saving you money or giving you an opportunity to purchase in that next braket.

new home construction austinHomebuilders, on the other hand, have their hands tied.  Now is a great time to start new construction because although demand is lower than average, new starts are WAY below average.  So in 6 months, when home is complete, the summer buying season is here, and we (hopefully) see the end to this economic slowdown as predicted, a builder could be in great shape.  The trouble is, practically no one is loaning on construction or in the commercial sector in general.  This means that the builders can’t get the new loan to start a new project and their business cycle is halted immediately.

It will be survival of the fittest. Volume builders with strong holdings in parts of the country hardest hit by the housing crunch, like Phoenix, Los Angeles, and Palm Beach, were hit financially long before we felt the diluted shock wave in Austin.  They have spent as much as three years struggling, and for some, that was just too long.

Low volume builders, those who build less than 50 homes a year, typically build in only one sub-market, say west Austin or west Pheonix.  In Austin, low volume and custom builders felt the hit a year ago.  Those with strong companies have survived, but not all have been so lucky.

It is the oldest and strongest builders who have survived.  But don’t panic if your builder files Chapter 11.  Panic only if they don’t recover from it.

What can you do?
If you live in a home build by a company that has filed bankruptcy, your primary concern should be on home warranty.  If your home is still under warranty, or you are buying a new home, ask about a 3rd party warranty from a company with a track record.  Even if the builder folds, the home warranty company will take care of you.

Green By Design Workshop Aug 16th 2008

Green by Design Workshop
Saturday, August 16th , 8:30 am – 4:30 pm
Austin Energy Green Building™ holds its one-day Green by Design workshop four times a year. Austinites preparing to build, buy, or remodel a home can learn how to improve energy and water efficiency, increase comfort, and reduce maintenance.

This workshop will give you an overview of the green building process. You’ll come away with a framework for making better design and building decisions, including:

·Assessing what your family needs in a home
·Choosing a designer and builder
·Selecting a lot or making the most of the one you have
·Increasing comfort and reducing utility bills
·Making smart material and appliance choices
·Developing a beautiful landscape that saves water, time, and money
·Creating a home that benefits your family and the planet

Lady Bird Johnson Wildflower Center
4801 la Crosse Ave
Austin, Texas 78739
Click here for directions

To register for the workshop:
Print the Registration Form (pdf) and fax to (512) 482-5441; or e-mail to register.
Registration fee is $35 per person.

Deadline for registration: Wednesday, August 13, by 5:00 p.m. Sorry, there is no registration at the door.

Click here for more information about this event

4113 Avenue F Update

For those of you interested in the project at 4113 Avenue G in Hyde Park, Austin, Texas, the plans are available publicly:

http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/agenda/2008/downloads/d3nrd20080088.pdf

It is my opinion that objecting to this project based only on the fact that an old house that is being removed (probably torn down, possibly moved) and being replaced by a new house is against the plans for growth that keep our local economy in Austin healthy. While there are many projects in Hyde Park that don’t conform with many people’s ideas of what is appropriate in Hyde Park, we must also remember that it is a high-density, urban neighborhood now. That comes with thousands and thousands of opinionated people. One may hate a particular house and another may think that it’s the most beautiful in the neighborhood. Many love all the old bungalows complete with all their aging, others find them small and in need of a fresh coat of paint and a update to accommodate the modern family.

I am one of the few outspoken Hyde Park residents for progress. A 700 square foot bungalow that has been recovered in asbestos and needs new electrical, plumbing, and many other repairs is not an asset to the neighborhood in my opinion. When these properties are going for $300,000+, who wants to spend that kind of hard-earned money to live in a cramped home with no closet space? If you want to protect your investment in Hyde Park, I believe in supporting managed progress. Well-kept historic homes should stay, but many, especially in northern Hyde Park, are essentially crumbling track-homes. I think the neighborhood deserves to be taken care of, and that includes removing houses that have not been maintained.

We have great systems in place through the design guidelines and the Historic Preservation committees and groups. We cannot object every time someone wants to add on some much-needed space to a cramped home. And hasn’t anyone noticed that new builds have slowed dramatically? That’s because land values have gotten so high that it doesn’t make any sense to build at today’s prices. New homes can easily get up to $1,000,000. And although I think that some blocks of Hyde Park support these prices, they are few, far between, and lined with historic mansions.

When you object to any and all change, it creates a great deal of conflict. I see that conflict every day in the Hyde Park N. A. Yahoo! group and in neighbors who know that I am a resource to ask on where to go and what to do next. I’ve seen neighbors attach 50-year-residents of Hyde Park for adding on to their homes while the aggressors went home to crumbling eyesores. It’s all a matter of opinions, and like my Kindergarten teacher once told me, you have to learn respect other people’s opinions and feelings. And anyone with a Psych 101 education can tell you that aggressively approaching someone will put them on the defensive and will not get the results you are looking for.

Also, I wanted to remind everyone that the Hyde Park Neighborhood Association is a ‘Neighborhood Association’ and not a ‘Home Owner’s Association’. The difference is, a Neighborhood Association is not mandatory and can not pass and mandatory rules. The HPNA has drafted and sucessfully pushed legislation in the interest of the neighborhood, but you need only the City’s approval for any plans on your Hyde Park property. The City will approve or deny based on all local laws and codes, including some which affect Hyde Park alone.

I encourage comments and I’m sure I’ve struck a few buttons.

Walmart planned for Central Austin

April 1, 2008

Just announced this morning, Walmart has their sights set on yet another central Austin location. In addition to the Northcross location at Anderson Lane and Burnet Road, a new store at 42nd and Guadeloupe is set to open in the summer of 2009. Plans are currently underway to purchase 32 homes in the vicinity which will be demolished in order to make way for Hyde Park superstore. In order to keep neighbors happy, this Walmart will include a roof-top park and swimming pool as well as an in-store Starbucks.

Neighbors have mixed emotions about welcoming the mega-retailer into their quaint Hyde Park neighborhood. Chelsie Howard, a resident of the neighborhood, welcomes the store saying “Traffic is so horrible in Austin, having a Walmart in Hyde Park will enable residents to get out of their cars and walk, run, or bike to a store stocked with all of their needs.” The store is expected to boost Austin’s economy by 3.4% by 2012.

Walmart chose this location after other retailers, like the Walgreens at 45th and Guadelupe, reported booming business and even nation-wide sales records. This store will be the 5,784th in the nation and will stout the title of “Greenest Walmart in the U.S.” with energy saving features such as roof-topsolar panels powering fluorescent lighting. The store’s plans include selling excess solar power back to the city at 7.8 cents per kw hour as a way of “giving back” to Austin’s community.

Walmart 2004

 

(image from PRNewser)

To read the complete press release, click here.

——————

April 10th, 2008 – Update

This post is receiving so much traffic, I thought I’d make sure everyone notices the date of April 1st on the post.  There’s no need to email me in a panic, this is an APRIL FOOLS post!  It’s been fun, but don’t worry because there are no plans to put a Walmart in Hyde Park.  There are, however, plans for a Walmart at Burnet Road and Anderson land in the Northcross Mall shopping area.

For information on the Northcross Wallmart, check out the developer’s site and (of course) an Austinist post on the outrage caused by the plans.

2007 In Real Estate – Austin Market Update

Month

# Sales

Dollar Volume

Avg. Price

# Listings

Months of Inventory

Dec-07

1,782

446,231,177

250,300

9,866

4.2

Nov-07

1,758

431,231,177

245,300

9,599

4.1

Oct-07

1,878

450,802,898

240,000

11,028

4.6

Sep-07

1,974

492,426,244

249,500

11,379

4.7

Aug-07

2,793

713,676,456

255,500

11,172

4.5

Jul-07

2,954

742,533,546

251,400

10,757

4.3

Jun-07

3,080

781,567,622

253,800

10,351

4.1

May-07

3,002

737,963,982

245,800

9,987

3.9

Apr-07

2,562

626,175,374

244,400

9,385

3.7

Mar-07

2,589

625,191,435

241,500

8,696

3.5

Feb-07

1,902

443,541,954

233,200

7,991

3.2

Jan-07

1,635

389,728,467

238,400

7,784

3.1

 So what was the real story with Austin’s Real Estate Market?  Is the bottom really going to fall out?  And why hasn’t it yet?  I feel like a broken record sometimes, but the falling prices we keep hearing about on the news are in totally different markets in the east and west coasts.  In these areas, prices flew up by 200, 400, and even 600%.  So it’s really no surprise that home prices have fallen in these markets.  Here in Austin, we’ve stayed smart as always.  Prices consistently rise, on average, 4-6% each year.  What we’re seeing in Austin right now is a slow-down, and after the huge boom we saw that peaked in 2006, it really shouldn’t be a surprise.  Prices were still climbing steadily in this period, but there were many, many more new homes built to meet a rising demand, and do-it-yourself HDTV fans flocked to invest in their own “flip” projects.  At some point in early 2007, supply met demand, but some were still creating supply.  And projects begun late in 2006 still had to be finished before being placed on the market.  Some areas of Austin saw this more than others, and in particular, Central Austin, East Austin, and South Austin saw the biggest booms.  Suburbs saw more production, but not on the scale of these urban areas of Austin.  Now, we’re waiting for demand to catch up with supply.  We are currently in a buyer’s market, but not on the gloom and doom scale of other parts of the country (or even Austin in previous recessions).  If I was thinking of buying a home, I would buy now while deals are good, sellers are willing to negotiate, and the market has some catching up to do.  If I were a seller in this market, I would be ready to be patient, and prep my house to it’s absolute peak, hiring professionals to make sure that everything is at it’s absolute best — the best way to ensure that when a house does sell in your neighborhood, it’s yours.

 I am still confident that there is no reason to panic.  Austin has grown to the point that it can withstand most anything you can throw at it.  We have many, many different industries to sustain us.  There are advantages to out-growing the medium-city way of life and I believe we are seeing it now.  New construction has slowed but is still strong.  The best builders out there will survive and others will move to a different industry.  This is a strong city now!

Keeping you up-to-date,

Aria Schoenfelt McIntosh
http://liveaustinrealestate.com
(512) 771-1776

Will Four Seasons Residential Break Ground?

Hot off the press, the Austin-American Statesman is reporting today that the “Four Seasons condos break ground this week.” I’ve heard that before (for the past seven years, in fact!), and I know that many bets could be lost if the Four Seasons Residential does become a reality. The 32-floor, 166 unit luxury residential high-rise with views of the newly renamed Lady Bird Lake is now expected to open on 2010.

Many have been worrying that Austin’s downtown can’t support the prices of $400,000 to $4 million, but with nearly half of the units already sold with nonrefundable deposits, it seems that this project is very healthy.

Still, with sales slow in neighboring buildings such as Milago, which also has beautiful views of Lady Bird Lake and luxurious amenities, can Austin take all of the planned urban residential development?

For now, it seems that people are still willing to spend the money to live in Austin’s booming downtown. With sales still holding slow across the board (even in sub prime developments), it seems our quickly growing number of Austinites can afford the luxury of an urban downtown, but are taking their time like they are all over the city.

If you would like more information on this development or any other condos/flats in downtown Austin, call 512-771-1776 or email ariakristen@gmail.com.

Aria Schoenfelt McIntosh
BridgeOne Properties & Corias Homes, Inc.
http://www.liveaustinrealestate.com

Food for Thought: Green Living Statistics

In the United States, buildings account for:

  • 36% of total energy use/65% of electricity consumption
  • 30% of greenhouse gas emissions
  • 30% of raw materials use
  • 30% of waste output/136 million tons annually
  • 12% of potable water consumption

Source: U.S. Green Building Council

Yet, only 7% of American voters believe buildings contribute to greenhouse gases.

We used to drive an average of 12,000 miles per year PER HOUSEHOLD. That number has rises to 22,000. Hybrid or not, that’s a lot of emissions. What’s to blame? Cities have grown without effective transit systems.

Fluorescent Lambs have superior light quality, a wide range of color correctness, put out very little heat, and last longer than incandescent & halogen lamps. Plus, about 70% of the energy put it is in the form of light rather than heat (compared to 10% light to 90% heat in Halogen lamps).

There is no significant cost increase in building “green”.

Figure 2. CO2 Emissions by Sector
Source: Energy Information Administration

The good news is that new buildings (if built properly) can reduce consumption by about 75% which can be done with the knowledge and products available today.

It isn’t just about Austin’s joggers…

I’m postponing my Green Building blog for just a bit while I pass on some information I received an email today and had heard about this problem before as well.

http://extendourtrail.org/

This group is seeking support to extend Austin’s famous Hike & Bike trail that borders Town Lake, now dedicated as Lady Bird Lake.

This is a development issue if you’d like to make your voice heard in this day and age of re-thinking the way the city handles new construction and development, especially in sensitive areas like those right on Town -er Lady Bird Lake.

There are plans for new development at this old site to either rebuild on the current footprint or allow the Hike & Bike trail to go through.

Do you support the trail or the building? If you support the trail, visit the link above for more information and to sign a petition online.

It isn’t just about Austin’s joggers… This is a similar but different issue than allowing homeowners to add a bathroom or garage apartment for a caretaker or a builder building a 2500 square foot 2-story home where there was once a 1200 square foot bungalow in central Austin. I really believe this should be argued separately since this is for a large apartment building. It is LEGAL for the developer of this issue to develop either way but responsible building should be supported. If you have followed my projects in central Austin you’ll know that I do build larger homes than those build 80 years ago but they fit into today’s idea of central Austin architecture as well as functioning family spaces (more kitchen space, more than 1 bathroom).

Aria McIntosh
Builder, Realtor®, e-Pro
Corias Homes, Inc. & BridgeOne Properties
(512) 771-1776
aria@ariamcintosh.com
ariamcintosh.com
coriashomes.com
bridgeoneproperties.com