Recession ‘very likely over’

image_8642856Recession ‘very likely over,’ Bernanke says

But Fed chief says economy not growing quickly enough yet to lower jobless rate.

FROM WIRE REPORTS
Wednesday, September 16, 2009

image_8642858Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Tuesday the worst recession since the 1930s is probably over, but he cautioned that it would be many months before unemployment rates drop significantly.

Hopes for an economic recovery were bolstered, however, by reports that sales at U.S. retailers surged in August by the most in three years. The unexpectedly strong showing in consumer demand extended even beyond the auto purchases spurred by the government’s Cash for Clunkers rebate program.

Adding to concerns about a recovery was a report that the U.S. producer price index, which measures changes in wholesale prices, climbed to its highest level in almost a year, driven by a surge in energy prices.

Bernanke said the economy probably is growing — but not at a pace sufficient to prevent the unemployment rate, now at a 26-year high of 9.7 percent, from rising.

“From a technical perspective, the recession is very likely over at this point,” he said, adding that “it’s still going to feel like a very weak economy for some time, as many people will still find that their job security and their employment status is not what they wish it was.”

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Is Austin Recession-Proof? Forbes says YES!

Forbe’s has just announced the top-10 most recession-proof cities and two central Texas cities made the top 3!  #2 was San Antonio and #3 was Austin.

  1. Oklahoma City, OK – Falling unemployment rates, strong housing market, and growing agriculture make OKC a great buy.
  2. San Antonio, TX – Growing industry, undervalued but climbing prices on homes, and new businesses keep San Antonio on the rise.
  3. Austin, Texas – The median home price is up 6.4%, unemployment is down to 3.6% from 3.8%, and out economic growth continues.  We no longer depend on one or two main companies ( like Dell) to survive.  We have a bustling business sector.

I still don’t recommend playing the housing market like the stock market unless you are dedicated to being an investor, but I would like to show you yet another bit of proof that the housing bubble is absent in Austin.  Don’t stress over your home’s value!  You can make a great deal of wealth in real estate if you can learn to take everything you hear with a grain of salt.  Investing and moving every few years can build a great deal of wealth, but is not for everyone.

Just rest assured that Austin is an amazing city that is keeping your home’s value in a steady state of growth.  Think of it as a Blue-chip stock rather than a Tech Stock!

Austin & The National Recession


Image credit: USA Today via Transparent Real Estate

 

Real Estate is an industry with local markets, but as a follow-up to my last post, “Austin Real Estate & The Austin Economy,” I thought I’d share a few more bits of information illustrating how Austin compares to the rest of Texas as well as the rest of the nation in this changing market. This graphic by USA Today should (of course) be taken with a grain of salt. For example, I find it surprising the Oklahoma is listed as expanding after losing GM. I do, however, think that this graphic is a strong illustration of what I keep coming back to in my blog posts about the economy and Austin’s real estate market. You can see California is completely off the charts followed by Florida, Nevada, and Arizona (Michigan has other factors as play). These are the markets I keep referring to in post after post after post. A lot of people made a LOT of money in these markets in the past 10 years during the boom in the warm coastal areas and now a lot of people are LOSING a lot of money because the boom as busted.

Texas (and more specifically, Austin) has remained strong with a steady growth rate of 2-4% during this decade. While some areas are in danger locally, the state as a whole is strong and Austin makes the top 3-5 of healthy market lists.

texasrecessiondata200803.png

So what’s all the fuss about? When some markets are in trouble, the news is spread nation-wide. The media are big business — never forget that! They make money if they can get you glued to TV news channels, newspapers, and news websites. They’re feeding you what you need to hear to tune in daily. So please, when you would like to be an educated consumer about Austin’s real estate market, keep it local and keep with the facts. I’m not against media entirely, I do think they have their place. But a truly educated consumer will check data and statistics to supplement their daily regiment of news.

Now stay tuned because in 30 minutes, after sports, weather, and entertainment news, we’ll let you know why this cute puppy could be in mortal danger.

… Just kidding.

The puppy is as safe as your real estate investments in Austin.